Version 3.0 | Updated 08.22.26
This tool estimates the California cement industry's allowance allocation position under different regulatory, decarbonization, and allowance price assumptions. It is a directional planning tool designed to illustrate the potential impacts of various scenarios — not a forecast of future conditions.
Access is issued per client and scoped to the engagement.
Pick one regulatory scenario, one decarbonization scenario, and a single allowance price for valuing allowances. The benchmark (0.818 MTCO2e/MT cement) and cement output are fixed and not user-adjustable. 2013–2030 (CAF and assistance factor alike) are locked by the adopted regulation in every scenario and never change.
These figures describe an industry-average facility. A plant whose carbon intensity is above or below the industry baseline will differ from this, in some cases materially. This tool is not a substitute for a plant-level analysis.
Rows are all sixteen CAF-path × Assistance-Factor combinations from the Policy Scenario grid above; columns are the decarbonization scenarios. Each cell is the average annual value of the allowance surplus/deficit over 2013–2045 (the cumulative value for that combination divided by the number of years), valued at your currently selected Average Allowance Price above — price is part of the scenario, so every cell recomputes when you move that slider. The outlined cell tracks your current selections above (CAF outlook path, Assistance Factor, and industry decarbonization scenario). 2013–2030 CAF and assistance factor alike are identical across every cell — fixed by the adopted regulation — and the benchmark is fixed at 0.818 throughout.